Wednesday, April 22, 2009

New Housing Numbers!

From Housing Wire:

Residential: -

"All loans 60+ days delinquent increased from 834,831 as of November 30 to 1,229,051 as of January 31, representing an increase of 47% over the period, the FHFA said. "

"However, prime loans 60+ days delinquent increased by 69.6% while non-prime loans increased by a significantly lesser 23%."

"Reasons for default: 34.1% of homeowners cited curtailment of income as the main cause of default, 19.8% reported excessive obligations, 8.1% said unemployment, 6.5% said illness and 3.5% cited marital difficulties, such as the loss of a spouse’s wages. "

C'MON GUYS! Can't you just be honest and admit it is UNEMPLOYMENT that is "THE REASON?"

How about the government's mortgage relief plans to help homeowners?

"In January 8,953 loan modifications were completed compared to 8,688 in December and the prior 3-month average of 7,926, the FHFA reported. This represents a 3 percent increase in loan modifications by Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac from December 2008 to January 2009."

WOW, 8,953 loan modifications out of 1,229,051 delinquent mortgages! Unfortunately, that will probably be the high water mark for loan mods. The government, quiet as it was kept, on April 9th agreed that bank's did not have to report the losses sustained in its residential mortgages!!!

These losses were the primary drivers behind the banks willingness to consider modifications, short sales, etc. That has been removed!

On the commercial side, we had a hush hush collapse of the 2nd Largest owner of shopping malls in the US! I did see the bankruptcy of General Growth Properties mentioned on CNBC (24 hr Infomercials for Wall St!) and a passing mention on MSNBC.

THE 2ND LARGEST OWNER OF SHOPPING MALLS DECLARED BANKRUPTCY and the stock market went up about 122 points!

Is this amazing or what? Do you really think we are getting the real picture of what is going on with the economy?

This is stunning news, but the worst is yet to come! There are 5 other behemoths in this category as well that will probably be gone by the end of the year!

My sources estimate that up to 30% of all commercial loans will go bad in this Depression!

What will that do to banks and especially insurance companies that are big lenders to commercial real estate? What will it do to the value of the CRMBS, the Commercial Real Estate Mortgage Backed Securities held by municipalities, benefit funds, retirement funds?

The one thing you can count on is that the Fake Reserve Bank, the Government, Wall St and the Mainstream Media will keep the bad news hidden from you, no matter what the cost!

Check out my Tuesday radio broadcast where I bring you up to speed on what is really happening in this economy: http://MyMoneyShow.com

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